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12 October 2008 12 Shawal 1429 24喈氞瘑喈掂瘝喈掂喈? 鎴婂瓙骞?鍏湀 鍒濆叚鏃?/font>



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Najib鈥檚 鈥淟ong鈥?Wait, The Final Battle


Date:26 SEPTEMBER 2008 An inside source confirmed with mD on several events that unfolded last week, and especially that during the UMNO Supreme Council meeting there was a serious call for Pak Lah to step down early namely by Muhyiddin, Rafidah and Rais. Two dates were mooted: by end September 2009 and before the 9th October 2008. The earlier date came with a disclaimer, that if Pak Lah continues to be stubborn and not step aside before the divisional meetings, he would stand to not get the required number of nominations. The situation was serious enough for Pak Lah to convene a meeting of his close aides that very night. During the meeting, his advisers convinced him not to resign and keep on fighting. They truly believe that Pak Lah will get the nominations needed to run for the Presidency, which is a minimum of 58 nominations.The next night, a convinced Pak Lah called all the Ketua Perhubungan UMNO Negeri for a meeting to gauge their support. For some this was construed as campaigning which he has said earlier was not to be done especially to Najib鈥檚 boys.What鈥檚 interesting is that during this meeting, the Ketua Perhubungan of Terengganu and Johor were absent without an apology. In that meeting, the only state chief that committed his support to Pak Lah openly was Perlis, while Musa Aman of Sabah only called in to state his support for Pak Lah. Another interesting fact was that Melaka was non-committal, as was all the other states.This scenario must be very worrying to Pak Lah and his aides. Melaka is represented in UMNO by a Vice President, so that makes two VPs - Johor and Melaka 鈥?that seem not to support Pak Lah. In addition, the other VP Isa Samad is a well known grassroots leader (who is equally well known to hold a grudge over Pak Lah) who is clearly against him. This situation is highly unprecedented in the history of UMNO where 3 VPs are not in line with the President of the party. In addition, Pak Lah cannot even count on his home state support, judging from the response Ahmad Said got from all the Penang UMNO divisions that backed him.There are three possibilities for Pak Lah at this moment if he continues with this course of action:1.聽聽聽 He gets a respectable no. of nominations which is more than 75% of the divisions nominate him2.聽聽聽 He gets the required no. of nominations but not a respectable one.3.聽聽聽 He doesn鈥檛 get the required no. of nominations.Playing by the numbers game, his chances of coming out of all this smelling like roses is not very high. This statistic is compounded even more by the current trend in the grassroots who feel that Pak Lah is compromising the Malay agenda to remain in power. As one very senior Selangor UMNO leader pointed out, 鈥淯MNO now chooses power at the expense of the Malay maruah鈥?If Pak Lah decides to continue, the most likely scenario is that he will get the required no of nominations but not respectable enough for an incumbent President. This is as good as a vote of no-confidence in his leadership. If this happens, it is very likely that he will be challenged in December, and the chance of him losing then is very likely.The only one person that has enough support to challenge him is Najib. If the nominations for Najib to be the President come fast and furious, the important question is will Najib go for it? And if Najib doesn鈥檛, what will happen to UMNO since such a strong message has been delivered by the grassroots? Like it or not, Najib needs to go for it if he gets enough nominations. Not to do so will spell the doom for UMNO surely. Pak Lah knows this and so does Najib.Looking at how Pak Lah is stubbornly clinging onto power, no one is discounting the possibility of Pak Lah making some drastic, desperate move to continue to cling. Could it be that Najib鈥檚 cancellation to the UN has something to do with this? Does Najib smell something? One thing鈥檚 for sure, no one should trust anyone in politics and Najib knows this fully well. The next few weeks will be a long wait not only for Najib but even more for Pak Lah.
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